Toluca climate — normals and trends
Toluca (Mexico) has a subtropical highland, dry winter climate (Cwb) under the Köppen-Geiger classification. Its mean annual temperature is 11.8 °C and it receives 1,232 mm of precipitation per year.
These figures are normals computed over 86 complete calendar years, from 1940 to 2025, using ERA5 reanalysis data from the Copernicus programme.
The warmest month is May (13.9 °C on average) and the coldest is January (9.0 °C). Rainfall peaks in July.
Toluca averages 7 frost days, 0 hot days (≥ 30 °C) and 165 rainy days per year.
Toluca has warmed by +3.0 °C between 1940 and 2025, or +0.35 °C per decade. This trend is statistically significant.
The number of frost days there went from about 12 to 2 per year over the period.
The hottest day of the period reached 28.6 °C (on 1 May 1983) and the coldest -6.5 °C (on 26 February 1976).
Data from ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus Climate Change Service), redistributed under a CC-BY 4.0 licence. Normals are recomputed whenever the archive is updated.
Climate normals · ERA5
TolucaMéxico
- coords
- 19.29°, -99.65°
- period
- 1940–2025 · 86 yrs
Mean daily temperature
11.8°C
Average daily high
18.5°C
Average daily low
6.3°C
Annual rainfall
1,232mm
Sunshine / day
10.6h
Mean relative humidity
70%
Average peak wind
10.7km/h
Seasonal range
4.9°C
Frost days (< 0 °C)
7 d/yr
Hot days (≥ 30 °C)
0 d/yr
Rainy days (≥ 1 mm)
165 d/yr
Annual snowfall
0.8 cm
Average feels-like high
17.7 °C
Average feels-like low
4.2 °C
Average peak gust
32.7 km/h
Tropical nights (≥ 20 °C)
0 d/yr
Solar radiation
20.9 MJ/m²
Has the climate changed?
One stripe per year, 1940 to 2025
+3.0 °C
since 1940
+0.4 °C per decade · r² = 0.89 · p = < 0.001
Trend fitted by linear regression (ordinary least squares) on annual means. A trend is shown only when it is statistically significant (p < 0.05).
A climograph overlays rainfall (bars) and temperature (line): the standard reading in climatology, where you can see at a glance whether the warm season is also the dry one.
Records for the period
Hottest day
28.6 °C
1 May 1983
Coldest day
-6.5 °C
26 February 1976
Wettest day
88 mm
2 July 1944
Windiest day
31.6 km/h
7 January 1946
Strongest gust
83.5 km/h
15 January 2010
Hottest feels-like
30.0 °C
10 May 2024
Coldest feels-like
-11.1 °C
26 February 1976
Snowiest day
19.5 cm
11 January 1967
Sunniest day
12.9 h
5 June 2025
Normals computed over complete calendar years 1940–2025.
A specific year
Pick a year and see how it compares to normal — warmer, drier or more extreme than usual?
Across the whole year
Month by month
| High | vs. normal | Precipitation | vs. normal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 18.3 °C | +2.1 °C | 41 mm | +12 mm |
| Feb | 19.8 °C | +2.1 °C | 51 mm | +26 mm |
| Mar | 22.1 °C | +2.5 °C | 20 mm | -10 mm |
| Apr | 23.6 °C | +2.7 °C | 3 mm | -52 mm |
| May | 22.7 °C | +1.7 °C | 112 mm | -5 mm |
| Jun | 19.0 °C | -0.5 °C | 345 mm | +153 mm |
| Jul | 19.7 °C | +1.5 °C | 180 mm | -56 mm |
| Aug | 19.8 °C | +1.5 °C | 234 mm | +8 mm |
| Sep | 20.3 °C | +2.1 °C | 212 mm | +33 mm |
| Oct | 20.2 °C | +2.1 °C | 92 mm | +2 mm |
| Nov | 20.1 °C | +2.7 °C | 13 mm | -22 mm |
| Dec | 17.6 °C | +1.1 °C | 59 mm | +40 mm |
The year's extremes
What was the weather like that day?
Your birthday, a wedding, a memorable trip: discover the actual weather for any date since 1940.
Frequently asked questions
What is the climate of Toluca?
Toluca has a subtropical highland, dry winter climate (Köppen Cwb). Over 1940-2025, the average annual temperature is 11.8 °C and it receives 1,232 mm of precipitation per year.
What is the hottest day ever recorded in Toluca?
The hottest day measured in Toluca between 1940 and 2025 was 1 May 1983, reaching 28.6 °C.
What is the coldest day in Toluca?
The coldest day measured in Toluca between 1940 and 2025 was 26 February 1976, at -6.5 °C.
Does it snow in Toluca?
Almost never: Toluca sees virtually no snow, with about 7 frost days per year.
Has the climate of Toluca warmed?
Yes: Toluca warmed by +3.0 °C between 1940 and 2025, a statistically significant trend.
What is the wettest day in Toluca?
The wettest day measured in Toluca between 1940 and 2025 was 2 July 1944, with 88 mm of rain in 24 hours.
What was the windiest day in Toluca?
The windiest day measured in Toluca between 1940 and 2025 was 7 January 1946, with winds reaching 31.6 km/h.
What is the warmest month in Toluca?
The warmest month in Toluca is May (13.9 °C on average); the coldest is January (9.0 °C).
How much does it rain in Toluca?
Toluca receives on average 1,232 mm of precipitation per year, spread over about 165 rainy days.
Is it sunny in Toluca?
Toluca gets on average 10.6 hours of sunshine per day, roughly 3,869 hours per year over 1940-2025.
What is the biggest single-day snowfall in Toluca?
The heaviest 24-hour snowfall measured in Toluca between 1940 and 2025 was 11 January 1967, with 19.5 cm.
Are there tropical nights in Toluca?
Almost never: tropical nights (temperature staying above 20 °C) are virtually non-existent in Toluca.
What was the most extreme apparent temperature in Toluca?
In Toluca, between 1940 and 2025, the highest apparent temperature reached 30.0 °C on 10 May 2024, and the lowest was -11.1 °C on 26 February 1976.
Compare Toluca with another city
Pick a second city: its normals will be set against these, indicator by indicator.
Nearby cities
The climate around Toluca